Can Tim Scott really turn the tide? Can the Republican Party really exclude dissenters and then find enough Democratic votes to start the voting process?
As the "Clear Act" approaches Friday, it still hasn't entered Senate procedures close to the Senate summer recess window. Tim Scott proposed a new viewpoint, stating that the Republicans will definitely hold a procedural vote on the Clear Act before the recess, even suggesting the Senate will decide to delay the recess.
Tim Scott is considered a temporary spokesperson for Trump, because this week Trump expressed that the recess could be delayed to hold a procedural vote on the "Clear Act," aiming to buy enough time for the bill. However, whether the Senate can delay the recess depends on the statement from Majority Leader Schumer.
So far, Schumer has not made a clear statement on this, so whether the Senate can delay the recess is unknown. Meanwhile, the market #Bitcoin has not shown optimistic pricing; the price remains volatile, and on polymarket, the probability of procedural passage before recess is as low as 17%.
Obviously, Tim Scott's viewpoint seems optimistic, but the actual driving force still lacks verification. The current difficulty for the Republicans is to first reach a high degree of consensus within the party, then persuade some Democrats to initiate the procedure, and currently, the possibility remains very low.
At this stage, the focus is not on the Clear Act but on whether Senate Majority Leader Schumer will announce a delay to the recess. Without resolving this issue, it will be very difficult for the Clear Act to enter Senate procedures! #财报观察员:业绩喜忧参半,解禁将至!SpaceX后续怎么看?
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