Post

The post is saying that even if $SPCX reports good earnings and the large share unlock doesn't immediately cause heavy selling, investors shouldn't ignore the risks. Here's the idea in simple terms: 📈 Good earnings are positive, but they don't automatically outweigh the risks from a massive share unlock. 🔓 Unlocked shares don't have to be sold on day one. Holders can wait until the second, third, or later days to sell. ⚠️ There are about 910 million newly unlocked shares. Even if only a portion of holders decide to sell after any negative news or weak price action, it could trigger a chain reaction of selling. 😨 The author believes many investors got trapped buying above 120 because they assumed ("I think so") the worst was already over. 💬 The author says they recommended exiting around 105, are still 0.3% short, and despite the stock trading around 114, they're not rushing to close the short position. 📊 Their view is that not everyone receiving unlocked shares is a long-term holder. Many may simply be waiting for the right opportunity to sell, especially after the earnings report. Main takeaway: The author is warning that good earnings alone may not be enough to offset the selling pressure from a huge share unlock. They think the market should focus on whether insiders actually sell after the lockup expires, because that could create panic even if the company's fundamentals are solid. This is a cautious, bearish opinion rather than a certainty. #AIMemoryBullTest #FedHawksVsWeakJobs #Alphabet25BBond