
Post
Awais Ahmad 1231919
Since the entire market broke through 1880 on Wednesday, it has reached a high near 1930
It has been oscillating in the 1895-1920 range for two days
It seems that the non-farm payrolls report tonight needs to deliver something strong to stimulate this market
There are several important points to watch in tonight's non-farm data
Market funds and liquidity are very poor
Therefore, ordinary levels of below-expectation data may not bring a big rally
Instead, stronger-than-expected data could cause greater damage to the crypto market
The market has already traded in advance, with gold rising more than 6% this week
The ADP data from the past two days has already shown cooling employment and a reduced probability of rate hikes
This has caused the probability of a September rate hike to drop from 67% to 55%
Only if tonight's data continues to be unexpectedly weak can the expectation of a September rate hike continue to decline
According to the US market control logic, if the market is too enthusiastic, they start a war and block the strait, causing oil prices to rise and signaling rate hikes
If the US stock market falls too much, they negotiate and open the strait, fabricate some fake data, and release rate cut expectations
My position determines my stance. Data can be faked, but I firmly remain bullish on #黄金4200美元拉锯,BTC为何没跟涨?
Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more
Replies
No comments yet. Be the first to reply!

