The non-farm payroll data that came out was really scary. I expected the data might be lower than anticipated, but I didn't expect negative growth. Looking at the specific data, the main reason for the negative growth is still government layoffs. Before the data was released, the probability of a rate hike in September was 55%, but it dropped to 40% after the data was published. Maintaining the interest rate unchanged in September has once again become the market benchmark, and the rate hike expectations have been significantly weakened. The US dollar, US Treasury bonds, and the USD/JPY exchange rate have all been falling, gold is taking off, and the US stock market is also up nearly 1% in pre-market trading. Although this is clearly positive, I still feel something is a bit off....#联储鹰派信号升温，弱就业能否压过通胀？

Since the entire market broke through 1880 on Wednesday, it has reached a high near 1930 It has been oscillating in the 1895-1920 range for two days It seems that the non-farm payrolls report tonight needs to deliver something strong to stimulate this market There are several important points to watch in tonight's non-farm data Market funds and liquidity are very poor Therefore, ordinary levels of below-expectation data may not bring a big rally Instead, stronger-than-expected data could cause greater damage to the crypto market The market has already traded in advance, with gold rising more than 6% this week The ADP data from the past two days has already shown cooling employment and a reduced probability of rate hikes This has caused the probability of a September rate hike to drop from 67% to 55% Only if tonight's data continues to be unexpectedly weak can the expectation of a September rate hike continue to decline According to the US market control logic, if the market is too enthusiastic, they start a war and block the strait, causing oil prices to rise and signaling rate hikes If the US stock market falls too much, they negotiate and open the strait, fabricate some fake data, and release rate cut expectations My position determines my stance. Data can be faked, but I firmly remain bullish on #黄金4200美元拉锯，BTC为何没跟涨？

I've held long positions for several days now. Is there still a chance for a breakthrough? Brothers, please recharge my faith. I'm about to break down. The market outside is full of bears. Can we really make it to the other side?#以太坊草案EIP-8363引争议

The market's intense volatility never picks favorites. It won't go easy on you just because you've studied hard or made careful judgments. The hardest thing right now isn't actually money, but emotions—the feeling of not even daring to face reality. I understand it all. I've also been liquidated and suffered big losses. But especially at times like this, don't rush to prove yourself with the next trade. Don't force yourself to immediately pull yourself together either. Stop for a moment—really stop. Detach yourself from the market's emotions. Money lost can be earned again. But if a person is crushed by emotions, that's truly irreversible. You are still the same person who once analyzed carefully and made thoughtful decisions. It's just that this time the market is more extreme and ruthless than you. The market won't end just because these few days are over; it will continue to exist. Whether it's liquidation or heavy losses, get a good night's sleep and have a meal. Keeping yourself steady is more important than anything. As long as you're still here, there's a chance to start over. Many people take the crypto circle's tricks—drawing a few lines, finding some indicators—and dare to take you to play the US stock market. To be honest, they might not even know what the stock or token is really about. Some people don't even know what the hell SanDisk is and think it's some kind of altcoin. And you dare to play along, dare to follow these people. Better block and stay away early, brothers.

Currently, Bitcoin's open interest is very high, continuously oscillating at elevated levels. Moreover, there is a lot of incoming capital chasing in, making the short-term bulls somewhat crowded. There is also a large amount of short positions being integrated. Honestly, a significant pullback is quite likely. It will clear out some short-term bulls before continuing upward. Looking at the CVD, the spot open interest increment here has started to be supported. This is real money genuinely pushing the price to break through. However, if the open interest sentiment here does not continue, a large retracement is likely to occur. It's best to wait for a major pullback before going long, which could better support the rally. I am more optimistic around 65400-65500; if the dip is deeper, it might even reach near 65000 #加密行情回暖，比特币走高

It's a bit like a left-right brain conflict The buying pressure on Ethereum is really strong, whether it's contracts or spot, the real buying support is very good If the price pulls back below 1850, the CVD trend isn't that bad; in fact, it's a pretty good signal to go long But looking at Bitcoin, the typical contract is strong while the spot is extremely weak. I'm really afraid it won't hold and will drag Ethereum down with it, which would be really bad #WorldCupFinalCountdown: Argentina vs Spain

This is the punishment for going all-in with a 100x leverage above 1900 The short-term bulls are clearly being flushed out What you see in this area is the bottom low-position bulls taking profits The high-position all-in bulls are passively liquidated and closed out There are also some short positions trapped below closing out Short-term sentiment needs to cool down, otherwise you all keep trying to chase the market, so you need to be cooled down It will retrace deeply to the area we marked this morning to stop falling, then consolidate The crowded leveraged bulls on the short-term upper side will be flushed out, which is beneficial for a better rise next time#存储股抛压跨市场传导，韩央行加息